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What is the future of NFT applications?

NFTs, Grimes used it to sell digital art worth millions, and the founder of Twitter even used it to sell his first tweet. But what exactly is an NFT, and will they be around for much longer, or are they some kind of digital trend that will quickly fade away. Let me be the first to say that from ...

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Circle of Competence: a Mental Model for Investments and Life

The Circle of Competence is a concept that has helped investors like Charlie Munger and Warren Buffet get to where they are today. So, what is the Circle of Competence? It’s simply knowing what you’re good at and knowing what you’re not good at. If it sounds obvious, you would be surprised at...

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How the Twaddle Tendency is a Verbal Smokescreen

The twaddle tendency is the need to speak confidently on something we don’t know enough about. The talk that comes from the twaddle tendency never adds value or unique input. It’s typically a rote repetition of facts, lines they’ve heard somewhere else, or a jumbled grouping of authoritative-...

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The Dunning-Kruger Effect and What You Think You Know

What is the Dunning-Kruger effect? To put it simply, it’s the correlation of excess confidence to limited knowledge. It also shows a correlation for lower confidence in more capable people.  Ironically, people overestimate their knowledge about the Dunning-Kruger effect too. Take a lo...

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Blockchain simplified: What you need to know

More people are increasingly becoming aware of blockchain because of the growing popularity of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Etherium, and, more recently, Dogecoin. But how exactly do blockchain work, and what is to stop someone from tampering with them? More people must understand how blockchain ...

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How to Avoid Stupidity and Solve Problems using Inversion

Inversion is probably one of the most important mental models you can learn, not because of what it can help you do, but because of what it can help you avoid. Inversion looks at a problem backward, asking the opposite of what it is you’re trying to achieve. If you want brilliance, you avoid stup...

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What is the Lollapalooza effect?

By now, you may already know something about cognitive biases, but you probably haven’t given too much thought to how they interact. Charlie Munger, an incredibly successful investor, coined the Lollapalooza effect to describe the interactions between cognitive biases and how they interact with e...

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How to Learn Anything With The Feynman Technique

We like to think of human memory in a similar way to a computer’s memory. But this is far from the truth. Unlike machines, encoding a memory requires us to work with how our minds evolved to build memories. We can’t just recall everything we hear or see. The Feynman Technique was created...

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Expecting The Unexpected With Hickam’s Dictum

“Patients can have as many diseases as they damn well please.”   John Hickam Occam’s Razor implies that the simplest answer is usually the correct one. This is often not the case in the medical profession. The body is a complicated organism with a lot of moving parts.  To ...

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Why The Lipstick Effect Forces Us To Rethink Spending

The lipstick effect defies what most people would come to expect during an economic downturn. The theory states that during a recession, the sales for lipstick nearly always increase. This has been shown in many cases, and it continues to perplex economists. A few theories may explain the ca...

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Hume’s Guillotine and the Is—Ought Problem

Hume’s guillotine is a mental model for separating facts from values. In the words of David Hume himself, “If the cause, assigned for any effect, be not sufficient to produce it, we must either reject that cause, or add to it such qualities as will give it a just proportion to the effect.” ...

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Using Hanlon’s Razor to Shave the Villainy of the World

Hanlon’s Razor is about giving people the benefit of the doubt. Just like many other mental models, it is a tool to help us see past the bounds of our ego. We too often assume the actions of others have to do with us, as if our lives are the ruling factors in theirs. Whether you do this co...

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Riding the Wave

“When technology moves as fast as it does in a civilization like ours, you get a phenomenon which I call competitive destruction. You know, you have the finest buggy whip factory and all of a sudden in comes this little horseless carriage. And before too many years go by, your buggy whip busines...

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What are Mental Models?

Mental models are tools we use to understand the world and inform our decisions. They help us think outside the box with an eye for the future. It’s not about raw intelligence or even how smart you are. It’s about having the right mental tools to help us make complicated decisions and think...

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How to Sharpen Your Mind with Occam’s Razor

Occam’s Razor is a mental model that helps us choose an explanation when there are competing theories. In a nutshell, it claims the theory with the least assumptions is usually the correct one. This mental model is named after William of Ockham, a 14th century friar and philosopher. Occ...

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How Cognitive Dissonance Fights Reason with Reason

Everyone would like to think of themselves as rational, forming their views from all the facts in an unbiased way. But this is almost never the case. It is possible to hold two conflicting beliefs at the same time. The psychological term for this is cognitive dissonance. But cognitive dissonance...

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